will this tweet hold up: Starship will fly to Mars in 24 months [27 Oct, 2026]

Manifold·Science and Technology

As of 02:56 UTC on 23 Aug 2026, Manifold prices “will this tweet hold up: Starship will fly to Mars in 24 months [27 Oct, 2026]” at 1%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Manifold, Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Oct 28, 2026

per this tweet: [tweet]Will Starship make its first flight to Mars by October 27, 2026? market resolves when Starship makes its first flight to Mars. Starship must land on Mars - any incidents between takeoff and arrival that compromise the ship (and preclude it from landing) will not count for a Yes resolution.