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By 2030, will an AI be officially designated as the patent holder for an invention?

Manifold·Science and Technology

As of 02:16 UTC on 6 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “By 2030, will an AI be officially designated as the patent holder for an invention?” at 22%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Manifold and Kalshi.

22%
vol cum
M1.4k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Dec 31, 2030
YES 22¢
NO 78¢

Maybe already happened, in which case, resolves yes.

aitechnology-defaultai-impacts
timeline
opened · May 19, 2023opencloses · Dec 31, 2030
By 2030, will an AI be officially designated as the patent holder for an invention? · prices over time
−24h
now
no price history yet
volume · 24h windows
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