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Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?
·Politics·ends Mar 31, 2026
vol cum
$14.2M
vol 24h
$0
outcomes
4
ends
Mar 31, 2026
outcomesclick to inspect →
PoliticsGeopoliticsTrump PresidencyWorldVenezuela
marketselected outcome
December 31
rank #1
United StatesVenezuela
6¢
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$229.1k
vol 24h
$0
spread
0.01
ends
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
timeline
opened · Jan 4, 2026closedresolved · Mar 31, 2026
December 31 · prices over time
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