markets

The first 50 of 774 events on pdata.world for this view, across 8 prediction-market platforms. Prices are probabilities; volume is each platform's own reported 24-hour figure, in its own unit.

1. Fed Decision in October? — Polymarket, No change 94%, $3.7M 24h volume.
2. Fed decision in October? — Manifold, No change 93%, M9.3k 24h volume.
3. Fed decision in October? — Gemini, Fed maintains rate 93%, $7.6k 24h volume.
4. Fed Decision in October? — Predict, No change 93%, $89.9k 24h volume.
5. Fed decision in Oct 2026? — Kalshi, Fed maintains rate 93%, $623.3k 24h volume.
6. Bitcoin $87,500 in October 2026? — Manifold, 6%, M2.5k 24h volume.
7. Fed decision in December? — Gemini, Hike 25bps 76%, $3.1k 24h volume.
8. Fed Decision in December? — Polymarket, 25 bps increase 74%, $61.5k 24h volume.
9. How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? — Polymarket, 0 (0 bps) 96%, $52.5k 24h volume.
10. Largest Company end of October 2026? — Polymarket, NVIDIA 62%, $53.5k 24h volume.
11. Largest Company end of December 2026? — Polymarket, NVIDIA 59%, $51k 24h volume.
12. Another Fed rate hike in 2026? — Polymarket, 74%, $42.6k 24h volume.
13. How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? — Opinion, 6 (150 bps) 91%, $23k 24h volume.
14. Bitcoin $120K in 2026? — Manifold, 6%, M1.2k 24h volume.
15. Fed decisions (Sep–Dec) — Polymarket, Hike–Pause–Hike 70%, $23k 24h volume.
16. How high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get in 2026? — Kalshi, Above 91,500 MW 6%, $59.2k 24h volume.
17. Number of rate cuts in 2026? — Kalshi, Exactly 0 cuts 94%, $54.9k 24h volume.
18. US Treasury cash balance on October 23, 2026 — Kalshi, Above $875 billion 98%, $51.9k 24h volume.
19. SOFR at end of Q4 2026 — Kalshi, Above 3.00% 99%, $46.1k 24h volume.
20. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? — Polymarket, 12%, $8.2k 24h volume.
21. 2nd Largest Company end of October 2026? — Polymarket, Apple 58%, $12.7k 24h volume.
22. Core PCE MoM - September 2026 — Polymarket, 0.3% 64%, $11.4k 24h volume.
23. Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026? — Kalshi, Hike 25bps 81%, $26.5k 24h volume.
24. Moody's or S&P downgrades France by...? — Polymarket, November 30 47%, $8.8k 24h volume.
25. Bank of Canada Decision in October? — Polymarket, 25 bps increase 81%, $8k 24h volume.
26. Fed funds rate after Oct 2026 meeting? — Kalshi, Above 2.75% 99%, $19.7k 24h volume.
27. Fed Funds (EFFR) at end of Q4 2026 — Kalshi, Above 3.50% 99%, $19.3k 24h volume.
28. How high will US unemployment go in 2026? — Polymarket, 5.0% 6%, $6.9k 24h volume.
29. Central Bank of Colombia decision in October — Polymarket, No change 61%, $6.7k 24h volume.
30. US economic state at the end of 2026? — Polymarket, Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%) 90%, $6.2k 24h volume.
31. Bank of Russia decision in December? — Polymarket, No change 63%, $6.1k 24h volume.
32. USD x Iranian rials End of October? — Polymarket, 2.8M+ 37%, $5.9k 24h volume.
33. ECB Interest Rates: October 2026 — Polymarket, No change 98%, $5.9k 24h volume.
34. Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026? — Polymarket, 3.0-3.5% 42%, $5.9k 24h volume.
35. Fed Decision in January? — Polymarket, No change 68%, $5.9k 24h volume.
36. Fed decision in Dec 2026? — Kalshi, Hike 25bps 72%, $15.2k 24h volume.
37. Fed rate cut by __? — Limitless, December Meeting 4%, $100 24h volume.
38. Argentina Monthly Inflation - October — Polymarket, 1.6 to 1.8% 55%, $5.5k 24h volume.
39. Mexico unemployment rate in October — Kalshi, Above 2.7% 56%, $14.6k 24h volume.
40. Vermont total milk production in 2026 — Kalshi, Above 2.40 billion pounds 97%, $13k 24h volume.
41. South Africa unemployment rate in Q3 — Kalshi, Above 31.0% 98%, $12.9k 24h volume.
42. Bank of Mexico Decision in November? — Polymarket, No change 79%, $4.8k 24h volume.
43. Nebraska corn yield in 2026 — Kalshi, Above 175 bu/acre 94%, $11.4k 24h volume.
44. South Africa rate decision in November — Kalshi, Maintain current rate 51%, $10.3k 24h volume.
45. University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - November 2026 — Polymarket, 46.0 to 48.9 41%, $3.9k 24h volume.
46. US recession by end of 2026? — Polymarket, 8%, $3.8k 24h volume.
47. US gasoline inventories at the end of November — Kalshi, Below 215 million barrels 99%, $9.6k 24h volume.
48. Will the Milky Way still exist in 2030? [long-term interest rate market] — Manifold, 97%, M253 24h volume.
49. October Inflation China - Annual — Polymarket, 0.7% to 0.8% 41%, $3.6k 24h volume.
50. Bank of Japan Decision in October? — Polymarket, No change 97%, $3.6k 24h volume.