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If China invades Taiwan will there be direct military involvement from the US by EOY 2030

Manifold·World
ChinaTaiwanUnited States
45%
vol cum
M6.7k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Dec 31, 2030
YES 45¢
NO 55¢

Resolves Yes if US directly uses it's military force against China Resolves No otherwise Resolves N/A if by close date China has not invaded Taiwan "Invasion" is any attempt to establish a ground presence on the island of Taiwan with military force. If China attempted a landing on Taiwan but was entirely thwarted by a US attack this would still resolve Yes

timeline
opened · Apr 9, 2023opencloses · Dec 31, 2030
If China invades Taiwan will there be direct military involvement from the US by EOY 2030 · prices over time
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