opentrade on 
↗
event3 outcomes
First to lose power: Khomeini, Trump or Netanyahu?
vol cum
M70.2k
vol 24h
M300
outcomes
3
ends
Mar 13, 2040
outcomesclick to inspect →
Which of these leaders in the conflict between US & Israel and Iran will be the first to lose power? Any process or event by which they lose their position would count, e.g. democratic process, revolution, ill health, death. In unclear or confusing circumstances I will make a judgement based on major international media reports and Wikipedia entries within one month of credible reports.
death-marketsdeathiranisraelus-politics
marketselected outcome
Benjamin Netanyahu
rank #1
United StatesIsrael
70¢
▲ 1.2pp
24h change
vol cum
M22.1k
vol 24h
M300
spread
n/a
ends
Mar 13, 2040
timeline
opened · Mar 13, 2026opencloses · Mar 13, 2040
Benjamin Netanyahu · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history
similar markets
suggested by pdataWhich of these Four World Leaders in Asia will lose power first?
Narendra Modi63¢· 0.0ppVladimir Putin24¢· 0.0ppXi Jinping7¢· 0.0pp
+1 others
M0 24h · 4 markets
polymarketIran leadership change by...?
December 3114¢· 0.0ppJune 30, 202730¢▲ 3.0ppSeptember 302¢▼ 0.2pp
+11 others
$42.2k 24h · 14 markets
kalshiWho will succeed Netanyahu as Prime Minister of Israel?
Itamar Ben-Gvir6¢· 0.0ppGadi Eisenkot57¢▼ 3.0ppNaftali Bennett6¢▼ 7.8pp
+9 others
$692 24h · 12 markets
opinionWill the Iranian regime fall by ...?
December 31, 202620¢· 0.0ppJune 30, 202624¢March 31, 20261¢
$248 24h · 3 markets
myriadWill the Iranian Regime fall before October?
yes3¢
$509 24h · 1 market
limitlessWill the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
yes1¢▼ 0.1pp
$0 24h · 1 market