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event3 outcomes
First to lose power: Khomeini, Trump or Netanyahu?
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Mar 13, 2040
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Which of these leaders in the conflict between US & Israel and Iran will be the first to lose power? Any process or event by which they lose their position would count, e.g. democratic process, revolution, ill health, death. In unclear or confusing circumstances I will make a judgement based on major international media reports and Wikipedia entries within one month of credible reports.
death-marketsdeathiranisraelus-politics
marketselected outcome
Benjamin Netanyahu
rank #1
United StatesIsrael
45¢
▼ 1.5pp
24h change
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Mar 13, 2040
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opened · Mar 13, 2026opencloses · Mar 13, 2040
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