pdatanews257
event26 outcomes

Next Qwen Max (3.9+) released on...?

Polymarket·Science and Technology·ends Dec 1, 2026

As of 03:00 UTC on 11 Nov 2026, “November 10” leads “Next Qwen Max (3.9+) released on...?” on Polymarket at 99%, followed by “November 17” at 28% (+23pp in 24h) and “November 12” at 23% (-9pp in 24h), out of 26 outcomes. The event has $4.6k in Polymarket-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Polymarket, Manifold and Predict.

vol cum
$7.1k
vol 24h
$4.6k
outcomes
26
ends
Dec 1, 2026
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 26
AIQwenTechAlibabaAI Releases
marketselected outcome
November 10
rank #1
99¢
▲ 86.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$468
vol 24h
$450
spread
0.01
ends
Nov 11, 2026

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Alibaba's next Qwen Max model (3.9+) is made available to the general public. A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Qwen" and "Max," be the flagship model of Alibaba's core Qwen Max tier, and be designated as version 3.9 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.9 or higher named in the same manner as Qwen3.7-Max or Qwen3.8-Max-Preview would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Qwen4-Max, while models whose name does not include "Max" or which retain a version designation below 3.9, such as Qwen3.8-Max, including its stable, open-weight, or snapshot re-releases, or Qwen3.8-Max-Preview, will not qualify. Derivative lines such as VL, Coder, Omni, or other specialized variants, such as qwen-vl-max, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Alibaba as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Alibaba, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

timeline
opened · Nov 7, 2026closing sooncloses · Nov 11, 2026
November 10 · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

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