Which company or organization will be the first to develop strong AGI as defined by Manifold?

Manifold·Science and Technology·ends Jan 1, 2101

As of 20:47 UTC on 30 Sep 2026, “Anthropic” leads “Which company or organization will be the first to develop strong AGI as defined by Manifold?” on Manifold at 29%, followed by “Google” at 17% and “OpenAI” at 16%, out of 13 outcomes. The event has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Manifold, Kalshi and Polymarket.