event5 outcomes
What will be Trump's cause of death?
Manifold·World·ends Jan 1, 2041
As of 20:04 UTC on 7 Oct 2026, “Heart Attack” leads “What will be Trump's cause of death?” on Manifold at 34%, followed by “Other” at 28% and “Stroke” at 18%, out of 5 outcomes. The event has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Manifold.
vol cum
M22.8k
vol 24h
M0
outcomes
5
ends
Jan 1, 2041
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Update 2025-03-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Assassination Definition Update: Any homicide will be considered as an assassination, regardless of whether it occurs while Trump is president or after his presidency. Motive discussions are not required for the determination of assassination.
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