pdatanews283

markets

The first 50 of 607 events on pdata.world for this view, across 8 prediction-market platforms. Prices are probabilities; volume is each platform's own reported 24-hour figure, in its own unit.

  1. NATO x Russia military clash by...? — Polymarket, December 31 18%, $2M 24h volume.
  2. Brazil Presidential Election — Polymarket, Flávio Bolsonaro 79%, $1.6M 24h volume.
  3. Will WW3 happen before GTA6? — Manifold, 5%, M8.3k 24h volume.
  4. Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory — Polymarket, Other 50%, $673.7k 24h volume.
  5. Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? — Polymarket, Gadi Eizenkot 51%, $472.4k 24h volume.
  6. Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? [Polymarket] — Manifold, 2%, M5.1k 24h volume.
  7. France declares state of emergency by...? — Polymarket, December 31 14%, $386k 24h volume.
  8. Next French Presidential Election — Polymarket, Marine Le Pen 46%, $224.8k 24h volume.
  9. Putin out as President of Russia by...? — Polymarket, June 30, 2027 11%, $203.4k 24h volume.
  10. 2026 Brazil Presidential Election Winner? — Manifold, Flavio Bolsonaro 80%, M3k 24h volume.
  11. Brazil Presidential Election Winner — Manifold, Flávio Bolsonaro 80%, M2.9k 24h volume.
  12. Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? — Polymarket, 6%, $146.4k 24h volume.
  13. Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory — Polymarket, Iotova 10-20% 63%, $143.9k 24h volume.
  14. Iran full airspace closure by...? — Polymarket, December 31 38%, $109.8k 24h volume.
  15. Bulgaria Presidential Election — Polymarket, Iliana Iotova 88%, $110.7k 24h volume.
  16. Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? — Polymarket, 18%, $89.7k 24h volume.
  17. Xi Jinping out before 2027? — Polymarket, 3%, $68.2k 24h volume.
  18. Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? — Polymarket, 2%, $55.5k 24h volume.
  19. Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? — Polymarket, 5%, $52.4k 24h volume.
  20. Will there be a serious attempt by the GOP to overturn the election? — Manifold, 37%, M1.3k 24h volume.
  21. Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Specific Margin of Victory — Polymarket, Other 50%, $41.7k 24h volume.
  22. Iran coup attempt by...? — Polymarket, December 31, 2027 29%, $678 24h volume.
  23. Spain General Election Winner — Polymarket, PP 76%, $33.4k 24h volume.
  24. Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...? — Polymarket, December 31, 2027 40%, $23.6k 24h volume.
  25. Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027? — Polymarket, No meeting before 2027 93%, $23.6k 24h volume.
  26. Who will Trump meet with in 2026? — Polymarket, Vladimir Putin 83%, $20.6k 24h volume.
  27. Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...? — Polymarket, June 30, 2027 9%, $19.3k 24h volume.
  28. Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2027 — Polymarket, Committee to Protect Journalists 11%, $18.4k 24h volume.
  29. Will China attempt to invade Taiwan by the end of 2027? — Manifold, 9%, M549 24h volume.
  30. Where will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place? — Polymarket, UAE 65%, $14k 24h volume.
  31. Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? — Opinion, 5%, $8.7k 24h volume.
  32. Next Prime Minister of Sweden — Polymarket, Magdalena Andersson 77%, $12.5k 24h volume.
  33. Will Russia invade a NATO country by...? — Polymarket, December 31, 2026 5%, $12k 24h volume.
  34. Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? — Polymarket, 7%, $9.7k 24h volume.
  35. Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs? — Polymarket, Person I 50%, $11.6k 24h volume.
  36. Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? — Polymarket, 1%, $11.5k 24h volume.
  37. France declares state of siege (martial law) by...? — Polymarket, December 31 4%, $11.4k 24h volume.
  38. Foreign intervention in Gaza by..? — Polymarket, December 31 6%, $11.3k 24h volume.
  39. Next Israeli Minister of Justice? — Polymarket, Person H 50%, $10k 24h volume.
  40. Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...? — Polymarket, December 31, 2027 33%, $9.6k 24h volume.
  41. Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? — Polymarket, 11%, $9.4k 24h volume.
  42. France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30? — Polymarket, 14%, $7.5k 24h volume.
  43. Iran leader end of 2026? — Polymarket, Mojtaba Khamenei 85%, $6.8k 24h volume.
  44. Modi out by December 31, 2026? — Polymarket, 4%, $6.2k 24h volume.
  45. Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027? — Polymarket, 87%, $5.7k 24h volume.
  46. Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...? — Polymarket, December 31 4%, $5.7k 24h volume.
  47. Iran Nuke before 2027? — Polymarket, 4%, $4.6k 24h volume.
  48. Russia military action against EU country by...? — Polymarket, December 31, 2027 27%, $4.6k 24h volume.
  49. Will something CRAZY happen? [Monthly Market] — Manifold, February 100%, M250 24h volume.
  50. Will Russia invade any NATO country before 31 December 2026? — Manifold, 6%, M250 24h volume.