pdatanews278

markets

The first 50 of 4,359 events on pdata.world for this view, across 8 prediction-market platforms. Prices are probabilities; volume is each platform's own reported 24-hour figure, in its own unit.

  1. Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2026 elections? — Manifold, 32%, M13.3k 24h volume.
  2. Fed Decision in October? — Polymarket, No change 92%, $4.2M 24h volume.
  3. California Voter ID ballot proposition passes? — Manifold, 16%, M11.1k 24h volume.
  4. Will Vivek Ramaswamy be the next Governor of Ohio? — Manifold, 18%, M8.8k 24h volume.
  5. Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms — Polymarket, Democrats Sweep 68%, $2.4M 24h volume.
  6. Will a Democrat win these US House races in 2026? — Manifold, California 9 98%, M8.4k 24h volume.
  7. Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms — Predict, Democrats Sweep 67%, $219.5k 24h volume.
  8. How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? — Predict, 0 (0 bps) 96%, $176.3k 24h volume.
  9. Which party wins 2028 election? — Manifold, Democratic 60%, M6k 24h volume.
  10. Brazil Presidential Election — Predict, Flávio Bolsonaro 76%, $141.2k 24h volume.
  11. Which party will win the U.S. House? — Gemini, Democratic Party 92%, $24.5k 24h volume.
  12. US-Iran ceasefire continues through...? — Polymarket, October 22 98%, $1.1M 24h volume.
  13. Presidential Election Winner 2028 — Predict, Wes Moore 39%, $130.4k 24h volume.
  14. Brazil Presidential Election — Polymarket, Flávio Bolsonaro 77%, $968.6k 24h volume.
  15. Which party will win the 2026 Michigan Senate race? — Manifold, Abdul El-Sayed (D) 70%, M4.9k 24h volume.
  16. Will the next White House Press Secretary after Katie Zachariah be a blonde woman? — Manifold, 40%, M4.6k 24h volume.
  17. Which party will win the Senate in 2026? — Polymarket, Democratic Party 68%, $849.6k 24h volume.
  18. Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 — Polymarket, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 49%, $816.9k 24h volume.
  19. California Governor Election Winner — Predict, Xavier Becerra 96%, $102.7k 24h volume.
  20. Elon Musk # tweets October 16 - October 23, 2026? — Polymarket, 260-279 78%, $748.3k 24h volume.
  21. Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...? — Polymarket, December 31 100%, $678.5k 24h volume.
  22. Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 — Opinion, Mark Kelly 99%, $294.7k 24h volume.
  23. NATO x Russia military clash by...? — Polymarket, December 31 38%, $699.1k 24h volume.
  24. Next French Presidential Election — Polymarket, Marine Le Pen 46%, $627.4k 24h volume.
  25. Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? — Polymarket, Gadi Eizenkot 49%, $540.9k 24h volume.
  26. Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory — Polymarket, Other 50%, $534.1k 24h volume.
  27. How many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election? — Manifold, 52 22%, M3.3k 24h volume.
  28. Which party will win the House in 2026? — Polymarket, Democratic Party 93%, $467.6k 24h volume.
  29. Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 — Polymarket, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 18%, $402.1k 24h volume.
  30. Who will win the 2026 Senate Election in Texas? — Manifold, James Talarico 66%, M2.9k 24h volume.
  31. Texas Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2026? — Manifold, Republican Party 73%, M2.7k 24h volume.
  32. Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner — Polymarket, Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia 72%, $344.7k 24h volume.
  33. Who will win the 2026 United States Senate election in Iowa? — Manifold, Ashley Hinson (Republican) 57%, M2.5k 24h volume.
  34. Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? — Polymarket, October 24 95%, $309.1k 24h volume.
  35. France declares state of emergency by...? — Polymarket, December 31 14%, $266.6k 24h volume.
  36. Next Prime Minister of Serbia? — Polymarket, Aleksandar Vučić 69%, $236.5k 24h volume.
  37. Putin out as President of Russia by...? — Polymarket, June 30, 2027 11%, $223.8k 24h volume.
  38. US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? — Polymarket, March 31 59%, $199.6k 24h volume.
  39. Will the Democrats win the 2026 Texas Senate Election? — Manifold, 65%, M1.8k 24h volume.
  40. Fed Decision in December? — Polymarket, 25 bps increase 75%, $116.8k 24h volume.
  41. Presidential Election Winner 2028 — Polymarket, JD Vance 20%, $170.8k 24h volume.
  42. Los Angeles Mayoral Election — Polymarket, Nithya Raman 51%, $162.8k 24h volume.
  43. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...? — Polymarket, December 31, 2027 72%, $142.9k 24h volume.
  44. Who will win the 2027 french presidential election — Manifold, Marine le Pen 50%, M1.6k 24h volume.
  45. Texas Senate Election Winner — Polymarket, James Talarico (D) 67%, $162.5k 24h volume.
  46. Which party will win the 2026 Nebraska Senate race? — Manifold, Republican 76%, M1.6k 24h volume.
  47. Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory — Polymarket, Iotova 10-20% 59%, $145.9k 24h volume.
  48. Will something CRAZY happen? [Monthly Market] — Manifold, February 100%, M1.5k 24h volume.
  49. Who controls Congress after the 2026 Midterms? — Manifold, Democrats Sweep 67%, M1.5k 24h volume.
  50. Michigan Senate Election Winner — Polymarket, Abdul El-Sayed (D) 72%, $138.5k 24h volume.