manifold
play-money prediction market · tracked on pdata, not affiliated
—markets·1,678events
Manifold is a play-money prediction market. pdata tracks every one of its live markets — priced in real time and compared against 7 other platforms. Here's what's moving across Politics, Elections and Economy right now.
breakdown
Manifold · by category · 586 events⚑ counts only · no facet $-volumethis venue's markets by category — each slice links to the matching category hub.
marketprob · Δ24hvol 24h
Will Trump finish his second term?
politics·Will Trump finish his second term?
84¢
▲ 0.5pp
M18.3k
vol 24h
AI solves Millennium Prize Problem in 2026?
tech
—
M15.6k
vol 24h
Will some Millennium Prize Prize Problem be solved in 2026?
tech·Will some Millennium Prize Prize Problem be solved in 2026?
73¢
▲ 57.4pp
M13.2k
vol 24h
Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2030?
tech
—
M10.2k
vol 24h
AI solves Millennium Prize Problem in September 2026?
tech
—
M6.6k
vol 24h
Will Navier-Stokes be considered solved on June 3th 2027?
tech
—
M6.5k
vol 24h
Will some Millennium Prize Prize Problem be solved in 2026?
Will some Millennium Prize Prize Problem be solved in 2026?
73¢▲ 57.4pp
Which millenium problem will be solved first?
Navier-Stokes problem
94¢▲ 39.2pp
Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next?
Navier–Stokes existence and smoothness
87¢▲ 32.8pp
Will the next Millennium Problem be solved by an AI?
Will the next Millennium Problem be solved by an AI?
78¢▲ 13.4pp
